"Should I Stay or Should I go?"

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I never cared much for The Clash, but the title to their most famous track is pertinent to almost every player on the Dodgers roster. It makes for a good entry title too. I'll get to all that in a bit.

 

First, I need to make a couple of housekeeping notes. Following this post, I will be in offseason mode since I don't give a whit about the World Series. I've already endorsed the Philadelphia Phillies to repeat and wish them all the best against the Cranks or the Angels. I think they'll prevail over either of those two pretender clubs.

 

What "offseason mode" means to my audience is diminished written output by yours truly. I will feature more literary posts (and/or book reviews) and the occasional Hot Stove gem. I don't like to deal in rumors so I'll only address key signings probably in one (maybe two) cumulative post closer to Spring Training. Until then, I'll be submitting entries only once or twice a month after this one.

 

Now a final word about the Dodgers. And I'm going to approach this by giving my OPINION in list fashion by position. However, let me first be clear: What I believe NEEDS to happen doesn't necessarily mean it's REALISTIC to EXPECT it to happen due to contract obligations and also how my hair brained ideas may fly against the face of logic. But, I'll entertain dissenting opinions. So here goes.

 

The most glaring of the positions to address is Dodger starting pitching. They ALL need to go, with the exception of Clayton Kershaw. Now, granted, Hideki Kuroda, Kershaw, and Chad Billingsley are all under team control. John Garland has a mutual option with the club. They need to keep him before resigning the volatile Vicente Padilla. Randy Wolf will cash the cow in another market. Maybe the Astros, again?

 

If I had my druthers, the staff would line up in this order: Kershaw, Garland, and Kuroda. Of the three, only Kershaw has an upside with the other two being overpriced, 4th and 5th starters at best. I'm not high of Kuroda or Garland and feel both are overrated, but at this point they are arms in the queue. Chad Billingsley is a fat enigma. GM Ned Colletti should have traded him away for Cliff Lee. I think that's obvious by now. Billingsley seldom gets past the 5th inning.

 

I'm an old school war horse when it comes to pitchers and like Nolan Ryan, I feel a starter should go at least 7. I think the Dodgers staff proved in the end that a quality team needs optimal performance from their starters before going to the bullpen and not the other way around. Billingsley needs to go.

 

That leaves a couple holes in the throwing armor. I'm not personally huge on signing free agent pitchers. I believe more often than not, they prove out to be busts. But the Dodgers, with many recent transactions, have significantly diminished their farm talent and filled it with a lot of "has beens". They don't have much to bring up and so I would fill the 2010 rotation gaps with a modest run at the Diamondbacks free agent Doug Davis and Seattle's Erik Bedard.

 

Neither of these tools really excites anyone and both will come on the cheap this offseason. Davis is consistent if not flashy, and Bedard has been an ace before his arm troubles so he knows what it takes. If he falters, the Bums can go the minor league route with James MacDonald again. Yeah, that's a lot of lefties, but there aren't many options this offseason. But that won't happen. The Bums will keep Billingsley, probably go with Eric Stults, and fail to acquire an Ace.

 

The Bullpen is easy. Keep 'em all. Jonathan Broxton just needs to get nastier in his attitude while on the mound. If he can do that, he'll morph into a dominant closer. I don't know if George Sherrill is content to be a set up guy, but I don't think he has the stuff to be a closer. Both have fat contracts that won't be easy to move in an offseason gravid with free agent closers. Should they trade Sherrill to Boston for Jonathan Papelbon and move Broxton in a package for a quality starter and/or second baseman? I'm dreaming. But I'd do it, if at all possible. The middle relief is intact and very good with Corey Wade hopefully bouncing back for 2010.

 

Now the infield. And strike me with a bolt of lightning, but the Dodgers need a catcher.

 

Russell Martin has been in a two year slump. It's time to face it. I don't think he warrants much of a raise and might benefit from the competition generated by having an offensive mentor catcher ... (dare I say, Bengie Molina?) ... behind him (or even in front of him). If the Giants jettison Molina and I'm Ned Colletti ... I make that signing.

 

It's a weak market for the corners and the Dodgers have weak power at their corners. I'm not sold on James Loney. I see little growth there. Casey Blake is the Mike Lowell of the West. If the Dodgers can package Loney and Martin in a deal that nets Marlins slugging second baseman Dan Uggla with some prospects, I make that deal. But that likely won't happen. I would hang onto Blake one more year because of his defense.

 

Rafael Furcal is not the best option at shortstop, but he's not going anywhere with his fat contract. And he does the job. He should go, but he stays.

 

The Dodgers don't figure to resign Orlando Hudson or Rafael Belliard at second base. Both we're streaky players though without Belliard, the Bums would've missed the postseason. They need more offense there. If they can't get Uggla and Blake DeWitt proves incapable of taking the reins; I feel they should consider Akinori Iwamura for a year if the Rays let him loose. Iwamura can bat lead off and hit for decent power. He'd be a nice compliment to Furcal in that sense. But that sort of dreaming on my part is an admitted long shot.

 

The outfield is intact. Unfortunately, the Dodgers can't ditch Manny. I would. Manny is the weak link and at this point, a liability. Ideally, the Dodgers trade him by eating a lot of his salary (like Boston did) and gathering prospects in return instead of letting him walk at the end of what figures to be a tumultuous 2010. They'd almost have to trade him to the AL. But Manny as damaged goods now? Eh, I'm dreaming. Maybe Cleveland would take him back under those conditions since they are prospect rich now, but it's likely that Juan Pierre wastes another year on the bench even though his 2009 performance mandates his reclamation of the left corner. It's more likely Pierre is packaged off in a deal, maybe for a pitcher. But Manny needs to go.

 

Figuring into any of these wishes and prayers is the McCourt divorce. Whichever party lands control of the Dodgers (My guess is that it'll be Frank), it stands to reason they'll be a lot poorer for it and that consideration should be factored into any Dodger fan's hope for team improvement.

 

For the Dodgers, 2009 figures to be a lackluster year because of bad contracts mixed with sour economics. They may still contend for the N.L. title with the pieces they have. But I feel it is more an opportunity for them to return to the fundamental, home grown through the farm mentality that has kept the Dodgers so very talented for years. After these bad contracts expire, the Dodgers would do well to embrace a thrifty philosophy through better scouting with the occasional splurge when warranted. We can only hope that Ned Colletti sees things the same way. 

 

Until next time ... Go Phillies. *Sighs*

 

6 Comments

Ah..Manny. Now you know why I wasn't sad to see him leave Boston! Enjoy the off-season!

Julia
http://werbiefitz.mlblogs.com/

Growing up with Sandy, Double-D, Padres & Perronoski, it has been difficult to get behind the pitching philosophies of recent years in Blue Town...I find Slider's views here on starting pitching both interesting and informed...

I like Ned, for the most part. He is a solid baseball man, and I have almost forgiven him for his years with the Giants...yet, he continues to puzzle me. Slider is correct about Bills - he needs to go. Actually, he NEEDED to go. Ned failed to stike while the Cliff Lee iron was hot...but the is history. Now, Ned, package him (without JP) and get what you can for a solid starter...maybe Bedard, as Slider suggests.

The only disagreement I have with Slider is Kuroda...and this is only slight. Clearly, he is unimpressive and unreliable (now), but, as Slider well knows, what else do we have for the 3 or 4 hole? And, this assumes we are able to keep Garland! Good grief, we are in trouble!

I agree with Slider on the Pen...with the exception that I would rather hang on to Big Jon than to go with Papelbon...sorry, but the whole Manny saga has soured me on grabbing Bosox "deals." Broxton does need to get nastier, as Slider advises...actually, he needs to go Manson Family on opposing hitters. Every pitch needs to be thrown with this thought behind it: "I dare you!" EVERY pitch.

Now, the infield. WOW! Agree on Martin. What happened to him, Slider? It seems we blinked and he was gone! I may give him 1 more year, with some old school competition pushing him, as you suggest...then, dump him if he does not respond. The only problem here is his trade stock goes down if he does not respond...

Loney? I like Loney. Who doesn't? The problem is his spotty power. I would give him 2010, then trade him if he does not step up.

Skip the black hole at 2nd for now.

Agree on Raffie...we are stuck with him, and he does still perform defensively. Hopefully, everyone is aware that his back is NOT well, and probably never will be again. Generally, shortstops need to have strong backs...DUH!

Agree on Blake.

Now, 2nd base. Good grief, Ned...wake up pal. Is he playing basketball or baseball? Bouncing from DeWitt to Hudson to Belliard? Pick someone Ned and make them feel as though they "should" be the 2nd baseman...guess what? Whoever you pick will become what we all want. Yes, even young DeWitt. In fact, I hope Ned gives the keys to DeWitt...once the kid recognizes that he should just play, instead of impress to win the job, he will show the grit that he is made of. I like the kid. Very much!

Slider hits the nail on the head with Manny and the outfield crew. JP is our left fielder. DUH! Ned has put us in a bad spot, though, with Manny. What can we do with him except play him 1 more year? You hate to ask Juan (with his fantastic commitment to the game and a splendid work ethic!) to "hang on" 1 more year while we wait to jettison Manny! What a thing to ask a player (and man) of JP's caliber...however, Pierre could rightly retire a Dodger is we can just get him through 1 more year of this Manny nonsense...leave the other two alone (Ethier and Kemp)...good god Ned, PLEASE do not screw this up!

Finally, I sense in Slider's article that the jury is our on Ned. Does he really understand the Dodger tradition of building from within? He has made worse moves than even the little boy DePodesta (never thought I would say that!). Look, his track record stinks so far: Tomko? Jones? Schmidt? Need I go on? Oh my, even Paul might have not done these things...

But, we are stuck with Ned...let's hope he starts listening to Tommy and others who truly understand that Dodger Blue starts with Dodger Farms...

I agree with Slider that 2010 will dissapoint if we look for a winner. However, if we look for building for the future in 2010 we may sense some satisfaction...unless Jaime and the California (un)justice courts screw this up as well...

Blue 62 - I appreciate the praise and kind words. I'm delighted some folks agree with me in many of these areas that seem more than obvious. But please call me 'Will' or 'Smiler' because I think there's a Slider out there already and I don't know if that person is a Dodger fan or not. Don't want to cause any confusion.

I would love to see a change in ownership and a way for LaSorda to be more intregal. I liked Paul DePodesta in Moneyball ... and I'm sad to see he failed in his Dodger days, but I'm not certain Colletti is the guy I'd go with either. Would've loved to have Towers. Oh well.

Sincere apologies, and a bit of embarrassment, Smiler!

Where I got Slider is beyond me...so sorry...

The upside of Alzheimer's is that I meet new people every day!

Sweet!

No problem at all, Blue '62. Wasn't my intent to embarrass you. I just appreciate your comments and readership. Go Blue!

Wow!

Juan Pierre to the ChiSox for 2 players to be named...Ned sure drives a hard bargain!

Should have been Manny for 2 peanuts to be eaten later...

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